Many junior SEOs make the same mistake: they chase high search volume, assuming it means long-term opportunity. But search volume alone is completely misleading.
A keyword with 50,000 searches/month sounds like a goldmine, until you realize it’s already in decline. Investing in a fading trend is like buying MySpace stock today.
Every keyword follows a lifecycle moving through these distinct phases:
- Intro stage – Early interest, but not mainstream yet
- Surge & peak – Explosive growth and peak visibility
- Sustained growth – Long-term, steady momentum
- Plateau – Growth levels off, demand stabilizes
- Resurgence / seasonality – Demand spikes again, either cyclically or unexpectedly
- Decline – Gradual loss of interest over time
- Niche survival or extinction – Either a small, steady demand remains, or the keyword disappears entirely
If you don’t know where a keyword is in this cycle, you’re flying blind.
This post breaks down each phase, the patterns behind them, and how to spot emerging opportunities before your competitors do.
Let’s dig in.